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Canada

Egmont


MP: Bobby Morrissey (LPC)

Latest projection: June 8, 2025
LPC leaning

Recent electoral history | Egmont


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 52% ± 10% 40.0% 45.9% 51.9% CPC 43% ± 10% 33.9% 31.0% 43.4% NDP 2% ± 3% 6.1% 8.7% 2.4% GPC 2% ± 3% 20.1% 9.4% 2.2% PPC 0% ± 0% 0.0% 5.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Egmont


Egmont 52% ± 10% LPC 43% ± 10% CPC LPC 2025 51.9% 338Canada vote projection | June 8, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Egmont 86%▲ LPC 14%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 8, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Egmont

LPC 52% ± 10% CPC 43% ± 10% Popular vote projection % | Egmont 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC June 8, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 48% LPC 31% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 47% LPC 31% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 47% LPC 31% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 45% LPC 33% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 43% LPC 35% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 41% LPC 39% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 41% CPC 39% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 45% CPC 35% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 46% CPC 34% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 48% CPC 32% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 51% CPC 31% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 51% CPC 31% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 51% CPC 31% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 51% CPC 31% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 51% CPC 31% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 51% CPC 30% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 54% CPC 29% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 54% CPC 29% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 54% CPC 29% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 54% CPC 30% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 55% CPC 30% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 55% CPC 30% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 53% CPC 32% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 54% CPC 33% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 55% CPC 34% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 55% CPC 34% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 55% CPC 34% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 55% CPC 34% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 55% CPC 33% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 56% CPC 33% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 56% CPC 33% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 55% CPC 34% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 57% CPC 34% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 57% CPC 34% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 57% CPC 34% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 57% CPC 34% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 57% CPC 34% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 57% CPC 34% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 57% CPC 34% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 56% CPC 35% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 55% CPC 35% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 52% CPC 43% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 52% CPC 43% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 52% CPC 44% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 52% CPC 43% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 52% CPC 43% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 52% CPC 43% 2025-06-08 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Egmont

LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 8, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 88% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

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