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Canada

Bourassa


MP elect: Abdelhaq Sari (LPC)

Latest projection: May 11, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Bourassa


Liberal Abdelhaq Sari
Conservative Nehemie Dumay
NDP Catherine Gauvin
Bloc Quebecois Jency Mercier
PPC Jean-Marc Lamothe
Marxist-Leninist Dominique Theberge
No Affiliation Philippe Tessier

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Bourassa 59% ± 6% LPC 17% ± 5% BQ 16% ± 5% CPC 6% ± 3% NDP LPC 2025 58.5% 338Canada vote projection | May 11, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Bourassa >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 11, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Bourassa

LPC 59% ± 6% CPC 16% ± 5% NDP 6% ± 3% BQ 17% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Bourassa 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 11, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 42% BQ 24% CPC 16% NDP 13% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 42% BQ 23% CPC 16% NDP 13% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 42% BQ 23% CPC 16% NDP 13% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 44% BQ 22% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 48% BQ 20% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 51% BQ 19% CPC 14% NDP 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 53% BQ 18% CPC 14% NDP 9% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 56% BQ 17% CPC 13% NDP 8% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 57% BQ 16% CPC 13% NDP 8% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 58% BQ 16% CPC 12% NDP 8% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 60% BQ 15% CPC 12% NDP 7% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 60% BQ 15% CPC 12% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 60% BQ 15% CPC 12% NDP 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 60% BQ 15% CPC 12% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 60% BQ 15% CPC 12% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 60% BQ 15% CPC 12% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 62% BQ 15% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 62% BQ 15% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 62% BQ 15% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 63% BQ 14% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 64% BQ 14% CPC 12% NDP 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 64% BQ 14% CPC 12% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 64% BQ 13% CPC 12% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 66% BQ 12% CPC 12% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 67% BQ 12% CPC 12% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 68% CPC 12% BQ 12% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 68% CPC 12% BQ 11% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 68% CPC 12% BQ 11% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 68% CPC 12% BQ 11% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 68% CPC 12% BQ 11% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 69% BQ 11% CPC 11% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 69% BQ 11% CPC 11% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 69% BQ 11% CPC 11% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 69% CPC 11% BQ 11% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 68% CPC 11% BQ 11% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 68% CPC 12% BQ 11% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 68% CPC 12% BQ 11% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 68% CPC 12% BQ 11% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 67% CPC 12% BQ 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 66% CPC 12% BQ 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 66% CPC 12% BQ 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 66% CPC 12% BQ 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 66% CPC 12% BQ 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 66% CPC 12% BQ 12% NDP 5% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 66% BQ 12% CPC 12% NDP 5% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 65% CPC 13% BQ 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 65% CPC 13% BQ 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 64% CPC 13% BQ 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 64% CPC 14% BQ 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 64% CPC 14% BQ 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 65% CPC 13% BQ 12% NDP 5% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 59% BQ 17% CPC 16% NDP 6% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 59% BQ 17% CPC 16% NDP 6% 2025-05-11 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Bourassa

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC NDP May 11, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Bourassa



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 59% ± 6% 57.6% 60.4% 58.5% BQ 17% ± 5% 22.4% 18.7% 17.2% CPC 16% ± 5% 7.2% 7.0% 16.3% NDP 6% ± 3% 7.9% 8.0% 5.8% PPC 1% ± 1% 0.9% 3.7% 1.2% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% GPC 0% ± 0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.
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