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Canada

Pierrefonds—Dollard


MP: Sameer Zuberi (LPC)

Latest projection: June 1, 2025
LPC safe

Recent electoral history | Pierrefonds—Dollard


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 60% ± 8% 56.4% 56.0% 60.1% CPC 31% ± 7% 17.7% 20.8% 30.5% BQ 5% ± 3% 8.1% 7.9% 5.4% NDP 3% ± 2% 10.3% 11.5% 2.8% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.3% 3.7% 0.6% GPC 0% ± 0% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.


Pierrefonds—Dollard 60% ± 8% LPC 31% ± 7% CPC 5% ± 3% BQ 3% ± 2% NDP LPC 2025 60.1% 338Canada vote projection | June 1, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Pierrefonds—Dollard >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | June 1, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Pierrefonds—Dollard

LPC 60% ± 8% CPC 31% ± 7% BQ 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Pierrefonds—Dollard 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC BQ June 1, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 35% CPC 35% BQ 10% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 35% LPC 35% BQ 9% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 36% CPC 35% BQ 9% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 37% CPC 34% BQ 9% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 41% CPC 32% BQ 8% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 44% CPC 31% BQ 8% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 46% CPC 31% BQ 8% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 49% CPC 29% BQ 7% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 50% CPC 29% BQ 7% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 52% CPC 28% BQ 7% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 54% CPC 27% BQ 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 55% CPC 27% BQ 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 55% CPC 27% BQ 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 55% CPC 27% BQ 6% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 55% CPC 27% BQ 6% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 55% CPC 27% BQ 6% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 57% CPC 26% BQ 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 58% CPC 26% BQ 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 58% CPC 26% BQ 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 58% CPC 26% BQ 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 58% CPC 26% BQ 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 58% CPC 27% BQ 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 59% CPC 26% BQ 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 60% CPC 26% BQ 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 60% CPC 27% BQ 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 61% CPC 26% BQ 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 61% CPC 26% BQ 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 61% CPC 26% BQ 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 61% CPC 26% BQ 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 62% CPC 26% BQ 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 62% CPC 25% BQ 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 62% CPC 25% BQ 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 62% CPC 24% BQ 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 61% CPC 25% BQ 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 61% CPC 25% BQ 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 60% CPC 25% BQ 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 60% CPC 26% BQ 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 60% CPC 25% BQ 4% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 59% CPC 26% BQ 4% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 59% CPC 26% BQ 5% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 58% CPC 27% BQ 5% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 58% CPC 26% BQ 5% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 58% CPC 27% BQ 5% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 59% CPC 26% BQ 5% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 58% CPC 27% BQ 5% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 58% CPC 27% BQ 5% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 57% CPC 28% BQ 5% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 56% CPC 28% BQ 5% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 56% CPC 29% BQ 5% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 56% CPC 29% BQ 5% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 57% CPC 28% BQ 5% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 60% CPC 31% BQ 5% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 60% CPC 31% BQ 5% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 60% CPC 31% BQ 5% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 60% CPC 31% BQ 5% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 60% CPC 31% BQ 5% 2025-06-01 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Pierrefonds—Dollard

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 1, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 54% CPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-01 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader
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