MP: Giovanna Mingarelli (LPC)
Latest projection: June 8, 2025
Recent electoral history | Prescott—Russell—Cumberland
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.
338Canada projection for Prescott—Russell—Cumberland
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional
polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls.
The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data.
Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada
Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%),
leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]
Popular vote projection | Prescott—Russell—Cumberland
Odds of winning | Prescott—Russell—Cumberland
Popular vote projection | Prescott—Russell—Cumberland
Odds of winning | Prescott—Russell—Cumberland
Demographic data for Prescott—Russell—Cumberland
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act.
The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.e.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.